Economist David Ndii has questioned the opinion polls being released by research firm Infotrak showing that Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Coalition Party presidential candidate Raila Odinga is leading.
Ndii, a Kenya Kwanza presidential candidate William Ruto's think-thank team member, opined that Infotrak's numbers do not add up.
Speaking on Citizen TV on Wednesday, August 4, Ndii claimed Raila could not be ahead in the 2022 presidential race since he had lost in his strongholds while Ruto had made inroads.William Ruto Castigates Uhuru Kenyatta for Supporting Raila Odinga's Presidential Bid: "Big Joker"
"I am asking, are the results consistent with the methodology? If Raila has 20% support in Mt Kenya, for example, and you are saying Ruto has 60%, then the undecided is 20%. But, in fact, when you look at their polls the undecided is 8%. Check your consistency, go add up your numbers," Ndii said.
Ndii argued that Raila's path to victory was to retain his strongholds and get the support of 30% of the electorate in the vote-rich Mt Kenya region.
On the other hand, he said that Ruto's path to victory was to defend his Rift Valley and Mt Kenya strongholds and invade Raila's traditional support base.
"When you look at the polls, Raila has lost ground in his three strongholds Western, Ukambani because he did not choose Kalonzo (as running mate) and the Coast.Kenyan Newspapers Review: Details of Uhuru Secret Night Meetings with Luo, Luhya Leaders
While responding to the economist, Infotrak founder and chief executive officer Angela Ambitho stated that their polls were purely based on research.
"Our research comes from respondents who are registered voters. We may not have the exact details that political parties have, but we have the details enough for us to make the decisions we need to make.
Our polls show you (Ruto's side) have gained between July and August from a candidate who hitherto has not run as a presidential candidate. So you have no benchmark to compare with. If you compare to July, you have gained 5%," Ambitho explained.
A survey by Infotrak released on Tuesday, August 2, showed that Raila would win by 49% of the vote.
The poll noted Ruto would garner scoop 42 % of the votes, 7% behind the ODM leader.
Ruto enjoys a commanding lead in the Mt Kenya region with 66% support, while the former prime minister was ranked second with 24%.