Like Saraki, Tinubu is losing the grip
View pictures in App save up to 80% data. The National Leader of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Bola Ahmed Tinubu is one of the powerful politicians in Nigeria and rightly so, a major reason for the victory of President Muhammadu Buhari at the 2015 elections -- all that is becoming a past glory in the light of the recent developments in the ruling party.
View pictures in App save up to 80% data. Despite completing his 8-year tenure as Lagos State Governor in 2006, Tinubu 'Jagaban' practically runs the affairs of the state as a godfather 14 years after. He has installed three successive governors in Nigeria's economic hub. The former immediate past Governor of the State, Akinwunmi Ambode can attest to the power of the invincible Tinubu in Lagos.
Like the proverb goes: "when it rains, it pours", Buhari's support for Victor Giadom as acting National Chairman of the ruling party contradicts Tinubu's choice -- and this is not a good sign for a man who wants to remain relevant in the presidency such that he is in a good position to succeed Buhari in 2023.
Power is transient, so are humans hence, politicians can go any length to grab power by any means and in Nigeria's case, it is not only power but a lot of free money.
Prior to 2015, Tinubu's influence was mainly pronounced in Lagos State, then some South Western states. However, after the APC successfully wrestled power from the People's Democratic Party (PDP) through President Goodluck Jonathan, Tinubu became more popular beyond the south. His tentacles then extended to the north but with a limited influence.
Reports indicate that Tinubu's support base is gradually crumbling even in the south. Some governors and ministers have been named to be rolling the drums of animosity against Asiwaju. The reason is not unconnected to the interest of the number one seat in the next presidential election.
View pictures in App save up to 80% data. The only known supporter of Tinubu in Aso Rock is the incumbent Vice President, Professor Yemi Osinbajo. Recall that Osinbajo was nominated by Tinubu as a running mate to Buhari. A position, it was claimed, Tinubu wanted but for being a Muslim. Looking at the nature of the treatment Osinbajo has receives in Aso Rock, he is as good as powerless when it comes to Aso Rock influence.
With no surprise, the Governor of Kaduna State, Nasir El-Rufai reportedly tops the list of governors on the mission to clip Tinubu's wing. To his traducers, it is high time his excesses are checked. On the other hand, Tinubu's disciples whose membership appear dwindling, will not give in easily. He is a cat with nine lives.
When a giant's time is up, a midget will ride on him.
View pictures in App save up to 80% data. Looking at his antecedents, Tinubu's dynasty may just be coming to an end like the abrupt end to Saraki's in Kwara State. The connivance against the former Senate President still hurts him to the marrow till date. Who could have thought, a Saraki would lose an election to return to the Senate.
Tinubu was quoted to have said during an interview in June 2019 that: “Even the obstacles on my way, I predict them before those that will bring them will start to think about them. I plan for betrayal, I plan for backstabbing, I also plan for reunion & forgiveness long before they happen. I expect nothing, I expect anything, I expect everything”.
He is no doubt a dogged fighter. However, every man has a weakness and that is imperfection. Perfection is reserved to only God Almighty. No matter how smart, intelligent, calculative, educated and wise Tinubu can be, he is a man and not invincible.
While Tinubu may have a secret master stroke, the northern players may be up to the game. Whichever way the pendulum swings, Tinubu is losing the grip of his strongholds. Nothing lasts forever. It was death that took Lamidi Adedibu's power from him, Tinubu may live to witness how he will be rendered powerless -- at least at the national level.